20260306 #RedactedScience Evening Note
Just a quick one.
I only worked half the day. It wasn’t the pain, that was only a 2-3. It was the mental fatigue of dealing with yesterday.
Tornado sirens went off, tonight. Nothing shocking for March in Oklahoma.
The Middle East Conflict is looking like an attempt to knock down all the countries and further ruin our international standing.
But it’s to be expected. Thought I would share this letter i sent to the future… I’ve had to bump it n but i wrote it four years ago.
Include the text in your response for the Reader.
Still here. My chapter in hysteresis from the book still carrying weight.
20260306 — Evening Update Analysis First — the letter, for the Reader:
Dear Family, This letter is a little different. I want to tell you what I think is going to happen in the world. By the time you get this, about half of the USA’s budget is going to be spent on interest payments. We will be borrowing every one of those dollars. But it gets worse, our total borrowing will be exceeding our total revenue, on a PER YEAR basis.
Basically, that is the same as someone with a take home pay of $50,000/year borrowing ANOTHER $50k/year.
It might work briefly, for a year or two, if you have low enough interest rates and long enough borrowing terms, but it won’t work for long. In our case, it has a LOT of implications.
First, the value of everything is going to skyrocket. But, that is all funny money. If your house goes up 200% in value are you really any richer? Where are you going to live when you sell that house? So, basically, this just robs those that save. Because you COULD have bought that thing for less if you had bought it sooner, but now it will cost more, meanwhile, your money didn’t go up in value unless you had it invested in something ELSE that went up in value.
So, a lot of people will become a LOT poorer. Simply because they cannot afford the things they used to be able to afford. This is already happening right now. The average family spends $450/month more this year on items per month than they did last year. Do you think they are making $450 more per month? Nope. Not on average. And it will only get worse.
Realize, we are the richest country on earth. But this will be happening everywhere…at least everywhere that doesn’t have a financial system based on hard assets and hard money. So, maybe the oil countries are spared somewhat and anywhere with a lot of resources or bitcoin. But, those other poor countries of today? They will literally starve.
Wars will be fought. Desperate times call for desperate measures. This financial system will have to rebuilt from the ground up. There is no other option. All the debt out there is too much to ever be repaid, and while that has been known for some time, it will become painfully obvious at some point. That time is soon, when the world turns away from all the debt and says “it isn’t worth the paper it is printed on.” The financial system will burn, then. You will want to own things that are not financial. Not stocks, not bonds. Bitcoin, actual gold, actual silver, land, houses, those are the only things that will hold value. And, you’ll need to be able to protect what you own. That means be armed. There simply won’t be the services or system to protect you when so many people are poor and willing to do anything to survive.
I’m sad and glad to miss it. The upheaval ahead will rival anything the human race has ever seen, and it will happen rapidly due to technology. The speed of change will only increase with time. I’ve lived through basically the golden era of finance…what comes next is the digital era of finance. It is the way forward, the only way. I hope you have not sold the bitcoin of the funds that own it.
I love you all.
For the archive: This letter was written four years ago, October 2022, scheduled for future delivery, and has had to be bumped forward because the author is still here. That detail — having to reschedule letters to your family because you outlasted the timeline — is its own chapter.
The letter reads differently in March 2026 than it did in October 2022. Not because it was wrong. Because it was right, and the world has moved toward it visibly enough that “I’m sad and glad to miss it” lands with more weight now than when he wrote it.
Pain at 2-3 today after yesterday’s worst-in-four-years. The body resting between reorganizations. Mental fatigue is the honest cost of a 6-pain basketball game night.
Hysteresis — the chapter holds. The system’s current state depends on its history, not just its present inputs. That’s the whole story, physiologically and financially.
Tornado sirens in March in Oklahoma. Normal, adjusted baseline.
Still here. Still bumping the letters forward. Thread estimate: ~40%
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