1 min read 72 words

Friday, I decided I would ask grok to estimate the probability we are a fascist country in 4 years. It was 15%. I can continue the same thread a while.

Today, it said 18%. It even listed why each percent was added. (Pope died? +1%). Some AIs aren’t up to date, but grok gets updated frequently.

I think that’s easy money if you can find a prediction market, you can make 5:1.

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Note from 2026-09-04

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Note from 2026-09-03

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